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European natural gas futures have pulled back slightly below €56 per megawatt-hour (MWh), though still hovering near a two-year high of €58.039 per MWh reached on February 10. This price surge was largely driven by a tightening in inventories due to colder weather, a decrease in wind power generation, and the termination of Russian gas imports via Ukraine.

European natural gas futures have pulled back slightly below €56 per megawatt-hour (MWh), though still hovering near a two-year high of €58.039 per MWh reached on February 10. This price surge was largely driven by a tightening in inventories due to colder weather, a decrease in wind power generation, and the termination of Russian gas imports via Ukraine.

#EnergyMarkets #NaturalGas #EuropeanEnergy #GasFutures #CrudeOil #UScurrentProduction #Sanctions #RussiaUkraine #EUEnergy #EnergyPrices #GlobalEnergy #OilSupply #EnergyDemand #GasImports #RussiaSanctions #ShaleOil #EnergyCrisis #EnergySupply

European Natural Gas Futures and U.S. Crude Output Surge

On February 9, European gas storage was only 49% full, significantly lower than the previous year’s 67% for the same period and below the 10-year average of 51%. The decrease in gas imports, notably from Russia and Norway, has exacerbated the region's energy challenges. Analysts at Standard Chartered predict that unless temperatures normalize, inventories could finish March at just 39.1 billion cubic meters (bcm), almost 29 bcm less than last year.

Meanwhile, in the U.S., crude oil output has seen a marked increase. The latest Energy Information Administration (EIA) report indicates a rise of 238,000 barrels per day (b/d) to 13.478 million b/d, effectively reversing weather-related disruptions. However, U.S. oil production growth is expected to slow in the coming years, with predictions for modest increases in 2024 and 2025.

Sanctions on Russian Energy and EU's Strategic Response

As part of ongoing efforts to address the geopolitical fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the European Commission is proposing a new round of sanctions on Russia and Belarus. These sanctions, which target Russian aluminum, media outlets like TASS, and the "shadow fleet" that facilitates Russian oil exports, come at a time when Europe remains heavily reliant on global energy supplies.

Although the EU refrains from imposing new restrictions on Russian LNG imports due to concerns over energy prices, the proposed measures reflect the EU’s cautious approach to balancing security, energy needs, and economic relations.

On that note, as energy prices remain high, European industrial demand for natural gas has weakened. According to Standard Chartered, price-elastic demand showed a noticeable slowdown in January, despite cold weather. The decline in demand growth, which increased by just 0.3% compared to last year, highlights the impact of high gas prices on industrial consumption across Europe.

A significant fuel oil smuggling network operating in Iraq has reportedly generated over $1 billion in annual profits for Iran, according to a recent Reuters report. The network, which has been active since Mohammed Shia al-Sudani became Iraq’s Prime Minister, involves diverting fuel oil from Iraqi asphalt plants to Asia. It comprises companies and individuals in Iran, Iraq, and several Gulf states.

A significant fuel oil smuggling network operating in Iraq has reportedly generated over $1 billion in annual profits for Iran, according to a recent Reuters report. The network, which has been active since Mohammed Shia al-Sudani became Iraq’s Prime Minister, involves diverting fuel oil from Iraqi asphalt plants to Asia. It comprises companies and individuals in Iran, Iraq, and several Gulf states.

#Iraq #Iran #FuelSmuggling #OilTrade #SanctionsEvasion #SaudiArabia #CrudeOil #MiddleEast #OilExports #AsiaOilMarket #Russia #EnergyPolitics #Geopolitics #OilSmuggling #IraqIranRelations #OilPrices #Sanctions #EnergySecurity

Iraq's Fuel Smuggling Network Generates $1 Billion for Iran

The smuggling operation diverts between 500,000 and 750,000 metric tons of heavy fuel oil monthly, equating to roughly 3.4 million to 5 million barrels of oil. This operation has reportedly contributed to a yearly profit of $1 billion for Iran. The illicit fuel trade has long been a point of contention, with U.S. lawmakers raising concerns about Iraq's involvement in helping Iran evade international sanctions.

Earlier this year, a group of U.S. congressmen called for an investigation into Iraq’s Oil Minister, Hayyan Abdul-Ghani, accusing him and other Iraqi officials of participating in the illegal movement of oil, allegedly sold to Iran and further transported to countries such as Afghanistan and Pakistan.

Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia has seen a boost in its oil exports to Asia, with data from LSEG Oil Research revealing a 550,000 barrels per day (bpd) increase in November. Saudi exports to Asia surged to 5.83 million bpd in November, up from 5.28 million bpd in October. This increase came despite the rise in the official selling prices of Saudi grades for Asia, which went up by $0.90 per barrel for Arab Light.

This increase is attributed to recovering Asian refining margins and a decline in the premium of the Dubai benchmark over Russia’s Urals crude. Additionally, rising shipping costs from Russia’s western ports to India have made Saudi oil more competitive. In contrast, Russia’s oil exports to Asia fell by 450,000 bpd in November, primarily due to reduced demand from key markets, China and India.

Jerusalem 24/7 Live feed; Pray over Jerusalem

Jerusalem 24/7 Live feed; Pray over Jerusalem with a live feed of Jerusalem. See the Old City and the Temple Mount, as you lift Israel up in Prayer!

Jerusalem 24/7 live feed; PRAY over Jerusalem as Iran threatens to ATTACK | TBN Israel

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) launched military operations in Jenin and Gaza, eliminating dozens of terrorists. Meanwhile, the ICC prosecutor announced plans to request arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, drawing international condemnation.

BREAKING: IDF Engages in Counter-Terrorism Operations in Jenin and Gaza; ICC Prosecutor Seeks Arrest Warrants for Israeli Leaders

BREAKING: IDF RAIDS West Bank Terror Cells; Global Court SEEKING Netanyahu Arrest | TBN Israel

In the past 24 hours, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) launched military operations in Jenin, located in Judea and Samaria, and continued ongoing operations in the Gaza Strip. These engagements resulted in the elimination of dozens of terrorists. Simultaneously, the chief prosecutor at the International Criminal Court (ICC) announced plans to file a request for arrest warrants against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant.

Early Tuesday morning, Israeli security forces, including the IDF and Shin Bet, launched a counter-terrorism operation in the Jenin refugee camp. Upon entering the city, Israeli forces were met with heavy gunfire from terrorists. The battle is ongoing, with at least ten terrorists eliminated and no Israeli casualties reported so far. Prior to the ground operation, the Israeli Air Force conducted strikes targeting senior terrorists in the city, including Islam Khamaisa, who was responsible for several attacks against Israeli citizens.

 IDF soldiers from various brigades, including the Parachute Brigade, 460th Brigade, and 7th Brigade, are engaged in intense battles in the heart of Jabaliya. The fighting has resulted in the elimination of dozens of terrorists and the confiscation of large stockpiles of weapons and ammunition. In Rafah, soldiers from the Givati Brigade and 401st Brigade are also inflicting heavy losses on Hamas, destroying rocket launchers and weapons stockpiles. The IDF is working to locate and destroy terrorist tunnels used for smuggling weapons and internal movement.

An IDF air strike eliminated Kasem Skalawi, a senior Hezbollah commander responsible for planning and executing rocket attacks on Israeli civilian communities and coordinating anti-tank missile fire against IDF troops along the northern border.

ICC Chief Prosecutor Karim Khan announced his intention to request arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, alongside warrants for Hamas leaders. This announcement has raised concerns among the Israeli defense establishment, fearing the pursuit of warrants against senior IDF officials. Emergency meetings have been held between legal officials in the IDF and various government ministries to address the issue.

The United States and other Israeli allies have issued statements condemning the ICC Prosecutor's move. U.S. President Joe Biden described the decision as a "scandal," emphasizing that there is no equality between Israel and Hamas. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu also criticized the decision, calling it "absurd and false" and questioning the audacity of comparing Hamas to the IDF. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken rejected the comparison made by the prosecutor, calling it "shameful" and reaffirming U.S. support for Israel.

Breaking: IDF Engages in Counter-Terrorism Operations in Jenin and Gaza; ICC Prosecutor Seeks Arrest Warrants for Israeli Leaders

Iranian President Ibrahim al Raisi, Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, and other regime officials died in a helicopter crash on Sunday evening. The delegation was returning from a meeting with Azerbaijani counterparts when the helicopter went down in heavy fog in a remote, mountainous region. Search and rescue efforts took over 14 hours to locate the wreckage.

BREAKING: Iranian President Dies in Helicopter Crash Alongside Other Officials

BREAKING: Iran President Killed In Helicopter Crash; Hamas Tunnels UNCOVERED In Rafah | TBN Israel

Al-Raisi, 63, was widely viewed as the likely successor to 85-year-old Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, who is in poor health. Al-Raisi was a strong supporter of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps and known as the "butcher of Teheran" for his role in the brutal crackdown on anti-regime protesters in 2022. His death is expected to cause significant political upheaval within the Iranian regime.

The IDF has discovered over 50 tunnels built by the terrorist organization Hamas running under the border between Egypt and the southern Gaza city of Rafah. Soldiers from the 401st Brigade have been working to eliminate terrorists and demolish tunnel shafts in the area. Rafah is a major center for smuggling weapons, narcotics, people, cash, and other contraband.

US Military Constructs Pier for Humanitarian Aid 

The US military has completed construction of a floating pier in Gaza City for the delivery of humanitarian aid. Trucks carrying aid have already begun using the pier, with more aid being stockpiled in Cyprus for security screening before being shipped to Gaza. The US Department of Defense emphasizes that American soldiers will not set foot on Gazan soil and that aid distribution will be handled by the UN and World Food Program.

Hamas Holds Israeli Hostages, Including Children 

The IDF has found footage and materials related to Israeli hostages held by Hamas in Gaza, including 8-year-old Ella Alykim, who was abducted from her father's house in Nahal Oz on October 7. In a video, Ella is seen asking Prime Minister Netanyahu to free her and other prisoners. Hamas has been using these hostages for propaganda purposes, forcing children to take pictures and videos in front of Hamas flags.

Implications of Raisi's Death for Iran and the Region 

The death of President Al-Raisi and Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian is expected to cause significant challenges for the Iranian regime. Amir-Abdollahian was fluent in Arabic and had good relations with many counterparts in the region and on the international stage. While the Iranian strategy is not expected to change immediately, the Islamic Republic will face difficulties in managing internal affairs and external hostilities against Israel through its proxies, Hamas and Hezbollah.

The IDF conducted airstrikes on Hamas targets in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon, resulting in casualties on both sides. Egypt announced legal action against Israel at the ICJ and threatened to suspend the Camp David Accords. The IDF released footage of Hamas terrorists operating within a UN facility in Rafah.

BREAKING: IDF Strikes Hamas and Hezbollah Targets; Egypt Takes Legal Action Against Israel

BREAKING: IDF NEUTRALIZES 15 Hamas Inside UNRWA School; RETURNS To Central Gaza | TBN Israel

Gaza Strip - The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and Shin Bet security service announced they killed approximately 15 terrorists at a United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) school in the Nuseirat refugee camp in central Gaza. The airstrike targeted a Hamas combat room within the school, which the IDF claims was used to plan attacks against IDF forces. The IDF stated they took precautions to minimize civilian casualties.

13 IDF soldiers were wounded in two separate incidents in Gaza, with four in serious condition. The IDF issued evacuation notices to residents of several neighborhoods in northern Gaza, citing Hamas' use of the area for terrorist activities and rocket launches.

In Rafah, heavy fighting was reported between the IDF and Hamas as Israeli tanks advanced into eastern neighborhoods. The IDF also launched a second campaign in eastern Jabaliya after detecting a buildup of Hamas fighters attempting to regroup in the city. Several underground bunkers, tunnels, and rocket launchers were found and demolished.

The IDF released drone footage showing armed Hamas terrorists operating within a UN facility in eastern Rafah, a major logistics hub for the UNRWA aid agency. The video shows terrorists standing near clearly marked UN vehicles, with UN personnel appearing unconcerned by their presence.

Attacks In southern Lebanon, an IDF strike eliminated Hezbollah field commander Hussein Maki and his deputy while they were traveling by car in the city of Tzur. The IDF has conducted a series of tactical strikes on Hezbollah officials to damage the organization's ability to attack Israel and deter its operatives.

Despite the strikes, Hezbollah continues to attack Israeli soldiers, civilians, and infrastructure near the border using anti-tank missiles, rockets, and other weapons. Several civilian buildings in northern Israel have been hit, and one Israeli civilian was killed in the village of Adamit.

Egypt announced it would join South Africa's lawsuit against Israel at the International Court of Justice in The Hague. Additionally, officials in Cairo have made increasingly hostile statements about suspending the 1979 Camp David Accords, which form the basis of peace between Israel and Egypt.

in Rafah Sergeant Yair Gisfan, 19, from Petach Tikva, was killed on Tuesday near Rafah in southern Gaza. He is the first IDF casualty in the Rafah operation. Three other soldiers were wounded in the same incident.

Explore the reasons behind Israel's intensified military operations against Hamas in Gaza and the looming threat from Hezbollah. Watch our detailed video report for in-depth analysis and insights into the regional implications and humanitarian impacts of these conflicts.

Israel Intensifies Military Strikes on Hamas as Hezbollah Tensions Escalate

BREAKING: IDF STRIKES 150 Hamas Positions; Israelis MOURN Fallen On Memorial Day | TBN Israel

Why has Israel escalated its military operations in Gaza, and what implications might this have for the ever-present threat from Hezbollah in the north? For a deep dive into the strategic reasons behind these actions and their broader regional consequences, our detailed video report above provides exclusive insights and analyses.

In recent days, the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have intensified their operations in Gaza, particularly targeting Hamas strongholds in Rafah and Jabaliya. These moves come in response to ongoing militant activities and are aimed at significantly diminishing Hamas's capabilities.

This military escalation coincides with Israel's National Memorial Day, underscoring the profound national impact of the conflict. The day honors the memory of those lost to wars and terrorism, highlighting the personal and collective sacrifices made in the pursuit of national security.

With the situation in Gaza escalating, concerns are growing over Hezbollah’s potential actions from Lebanon. Known for its strategic planning and significant military capabilities, Hezbollah's reaction could further complicate the security landscape.

The military actions have led to significant humanitarian concerns, with large numbers of Gaza civilians displaced to shelters. These developments highlight the complex challenge of addressing security needs while minimizing civilian impact.

The conflict has also brought certain figures to the forefront, such as Mohammed Shabana from Hamas, whose leadership role and personal history may influence future tactics and responses from the group.

International efforts to stabilize the situation are ongoing, with various nations involved in diplomatic efforts to manage the tensions with Hezbollah and address the unfolding crisis in Gaza.

For a more comprehensive understanding of these developments, their background, and potential future implications, we invite you to watch our full video report, by clicking on the video thumbnail above. Gain deeper insights into the strategic decisions shaping this conflict and explore the complex interplay of military actions and political strategies.

President Biden declares US aid to Israel depends on IDF operations in Rafah. Israel establishes outposts, Hamas regroups, as civilians suffer in ongoing Gaza conflict. Tensions rise over US plan to pause weapons shipments to Israel.

US Declares Israel Aid Conditional on Rafah Ops as IDF Battles Hamas

BREAKING: Biden THREATENS Cutting Israeli Arms Aid; Hamas REINFORCES Central Gaza | TBN Israel

For the first time, US President Joe Biden has personally declared that aid for Israel is conditional on how the IDF operates in Rafah. While the eyes of the world and Israel are on Rafah, where the IDF has begun a limited incursion into the eastern neighborhoods, elsewhere in the Gaza Strip a new reality is taking shape. Hamas is beginning to recover some of its military power and civil administration in areas where the IDF has vacated.

IDF Establishes Outposts and Infrastructure in Netzer Corridor

In recent days, the IDF has completed the construction of four large outposts along the Netzer clearing corridor, providing a semi-permanent camp for use by hundreds of soldiers from two reserve brigades. One brigade is responsible for securing the construction of a pier built by the US Navy and Army for supplying humanitarian aid to Gaza City. Other infrastructure has been built to monitor the security situation, including communications equipment, cameras, and expanding cellular service.

The IDF recently observed hundreds of Hamas terrorists moving to reinforce the shattered battalions in the central cities of the Strip. Hamas terrorists have become more passive in recent weeks, mostly launching scattered attacks. IDF intelligence believes Hamas is using this time to regroup and reorganize. Hamas has also sent fighters to try and impose civil administration on the civilian population in areas the IDF has withdrawn from.

IDF Continues Operations to Eliminate Hamas Threat

In the last 24 hours, IDF soldiers eliminated terrorists in several engagements and found and demolished tunnels and terrorist infrastructure. The destruction of smuggling tunnels is one of Israel's main strategic goals. The IDF aims to destroy Hamas to free Israel from the terrorist threat and liberate the Palestinian people from Hamas' tyranny.

US Signals Possible Pause in Weapons Shipments

In a CNN interview, President Biden said he will pause shipments of bombs and artillery shells to Israel if they start an extensive military operation in Rafah, beyond the current limited operation. The weapons shipment being delayed includes 1,800 900-kilogram bombs and 1,700 225-kilogram bombs. The US is considering delaying further arms shipments amid the widespread destruction heavy bombs have caused in the Strip.

Israel Disappointed But Not Surprised by US Decision

In Israel there is frustration and disappointment following the US decision. The talks on the subject have been a dialogue of the deaf, with Israel trying to convince US officials that its plan to protect civilians in Rafah would succeed. Israel has increased aid shipments to Gaza and helped establish a humanitarian port to try to convince the US a humanitarian disaster could be prevented.

Israel Can Manage Short-Term, But Symbolic Message Damaging

At this stage Israel has sufficient weapons supplies to continue operations, but will soon need to be selective in targets. The bigger problem is the symbolic message the US decision sends. It could signal to Hamas that if they bide their time, the US and world opinion will allow them to end the war and retain their rule over Gaza. Cutting off precision weapons could also lead to more civilian casualties, counter to the US goal.

Potential Implications for Northern Front

In the short term, Israel can manage as long as delivery of air defense systems continues. There are signs of renewed Congressional interest, mainly among Republicans, in standing with Israel. The withheld large bombs could be important for Israel's defensive plans if war with Hezbollah in the north expands.

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have initiated a pivotal operation to seize control of Rafah, a city in the southern Gaza Strip, and uncover an extensive network of Hamas-operated tunnels. These tunnels, running beneath the Gaza-Egypt border, have been instrumental in Hamas' smuggling of weapons, cash, and supplies, serving as a crucial lifeline for the terrorist organization.

IDF unearths Rafah terror tunnels

BREAKING: IDF Uncovers Rafah SMUGGLING Tunnels; U.S. SUSPENDS Israeli Bomb Shipments | TBN Israel

IDF Launches Strategic Offensive on Rafah Tunnels

Reclaiming the Philadelphia Corridor: Putting Pressure on Hamas

The strategic importance of Rafah and the Philadelphia Corridor along the Egypt-Gaza border cannot be overstated. By regaining control of this area, the IDF aims to put significant pressure on Hamas, whose tunnel network has been used to transport Iranian-supplied weapons and facilitate the travel of Hamas operatives to Lebanon and Iran for terrorist training. The tunnels also serve as conduits for hundreds of millions in illicit cash, narcotics, and goods each year, lining the pockets of smuggling gangs in the Sinai.

IDF Targets Tunnel Infrastructure to Weaken Hamas

The IDF's primary objective is to locate and destroy as much of the tunnel infrastructure as possible, aiming to deprive Hamas of vital resources. However, given Hamas' significant multi-year investment in constructing and fortifying these tunnels, complete demolition is unlikely. The operation serves to highlight Hamas' misplaced priorities, as aid money intended for the welfare of Gaza's civilians has been diverted to fund the tunnel network. Eliminating Hamas' grip on power is seen as a necessary step for Gazans to have a chance at a better life.

Minimizing Civilian Casualties Amidst High Stakes

The IDF faces the challenging task of minimizing civilian casualties in Rafah, where over 1 million civilians reside, many of whom Hamas exploits as human shields. To mitigate risks, the IDF has issued warnings in Arabic, urging civilians to evacuate the area. The stakes are further heightened by the belief that over 100 hostages are being held in the tunnels. As international pressure for a ceasefire intensifies, Israel must navigate a precarious path forward.

Hamas' Ceasefire Claims Met with Skepticism

Despite Hamas' claims of accepting a ceasefire deal, the conditions they demand remain unacceptable to Israel, casting doubts on the sincerity of their proposal. The Rafah offensive, in conjunction with efforts to negotiate a prisoner exchange, is viewed as Israel's strategy to compel Hamas into an agreement that safeguards Israel's security interests while significantly weakening the terrorist group to prevent future conflicts.

Ongoing Conflict and International Scrutiny

As the conflict persists, the past 24 hours have witnessed a barrage of rockets targeting Israeli communities and the Kerem Shalom humanitarian crossing. The IDF remains vigilant, intercepting rockets and swiftly striking rocket launchers. Israel's actions have drawn criticism from some in the international community, raising concerns over the humanitarian situation in Gaza. The United States has temporarily suspended certain weapons shipments to Israel, pending further review of the Rafah operation and its potential impact on civilians.

The IDF's offensive in Rafah marks a significant turning point in the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas. As the battle for control of the strategic tunnel network unfolds, the international community watches closely, with the fate of countless civilians hanging in the balance.

The war cabinet of Israel has unanimously decided to launch a mission in Rafah, a crucial stronghold of Hamas. The primary goal for Israel is to push Hamas to release the hostages. Meanwhile, in the background of this conflict, confusion and perceived deception regarding cease-fire proposals loom large.

The ongoing war between Israel and Hamas has scaled a new height, with the former moving towards a new phase. The war cabinet of Israel has unanimously decided to increase the intensity by launching a mission in Rafah, a crucial stronghold of Hamas. The primary goal for Israel is to push Hamas to release the hostages. Meanwhile, in the background of this conflict, confusion and perceived deception regarding cease-fire proposals loom large.

Operation in Rafah: The Ground Zero of Israel-Hamas Conflict

BREAKING: IDF Launches Rafah Offensive; SEIZES Control Of Rafah Border Crossing | TBN Israel

The war cabinet of Israel has unanimously decided to launch a mission in Rafah, a crucial stronghold of Hamas. 

The primary goal for Israel is to push Hamas to release the hostages. 

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have commenced the operation in the eastern neighborhoods of Rafah, with artillery support and ground forces. This move is reported to be a tactical maneuver aimed at encircling the Rafah crossing, the lifeline for Hamas' operations. The multi-pronged assault is all set to damage the operational capabilities of Hamas severely, with the operation's pace being regulated as per the developments on the ground.

Rafah crossing, located approximately 3.5km from the Israeli border, is a key entry point for the Hamas-controlled Gaza Strip. Now under IDF control, this crossing holds strategic importance for the smuggling of weapons and money into the Strip by Hamas, which they use to wage war against Israel.

Amidst the escalating conflict, efforts for a diplomatic resolution are also underway. However, these endeavors have fallen prey to ambiguity and confusion. Reports claim that the Palestinian Authority was under the impression that Hamas had accepted the proposed ceasefire terms, bringing the war to an end. In contrast, Israel and US officials believe that the proposed agreement, purportedly accepted by Hamas, did not tally with the original terms proposed by Israel.

Meanwhile, Israel's Prime Minister's office announced its intention to partake in further diplomatic discussions, potentially sending a delegation of mediators to explore the probability of reaching an agreement that aligns with Israel's requirements. This means that Israel is ready to negotiate and bring the war to an end by practicing diplomacy, despite the Hamas proposal seeming far from their necessary requirements.

Survival of Hamas and Deceptive Proposals

The pressing question for the overall peace prospect in the region is the survival of Hamas, repeatedly stated as an unacceptable scenario by Israel. Though the primary confrontation now revolves around Hamas, the northern border's Hezbollah still remains a concern. Despite operating under severe stress, Hamas has publicly agreed to an unsuitable proposal, which it tries to portray as an agreement ‘forced upon’ by Israel. This seemingly deceptive tactic is creating false narratives, and muddying the waters around ceasefire discussions.

As the operation progresses, IDF forces have reported eliminating 20 terrorists and demolishing three tunnels. A key milestone achieved by the IDF so far is gaining operational control of the Rafah crossing, significantly curbing the Hamas terrorists' strategies. On the other hand, Egypt too has reported blocking Palestinians trying to flee the conflict and entering Egyptian territory.

Amid the numerous tactics and strategies in play, a significant part of the future lies in the hands of a special Israeli delegation, which is reportedly planning to meet with mediators in Cairo to explore the potential for an agreement. As this war continues, and the truce talks remain ambiguous, the picture remains unclear, hence necessitating close monitoring and comprehensive reporting of the situation on the ground.

South Africa has dragged Israel to the ICJ, accusing the Middle Eastern country of committing genocide in Gaza. The outcome of this case will impact the global narrative.

Why is Israel Being Accused of Genocide?

South Africa has referred Israel to the International Court of Justice (ICJ), accusing the Middle Eastern country of committing genocide in Gaza. This follows reports that allege that over 22,000 people, mostly civilians, have been killed in the Gaza Strip since the start of the October 7 Hamas-Israel war.

In this article, we'll discuss South Africa's genocide allegations against Israel. We'll also explain the nature of the ICJ and the weight of its rulings.

On October 7, 2023, Hamas, an Iran-funded terror group, carried out a coordinated attack on random Israeli towns, killing 1,200 people and kidnapping some 240 others. The attack, which came at a time of rising Israel-Palestine tensions, was described as one of the worst terrorist attacks in history.

Israel's military, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), responded to the attack by carrying out air strikes and a ground offensive in Gaza. This led to the deaths of over 22,000 people in Gaza, a figure provided by the Hamas-run health ministry.

South Africa subsequently filed a case at the ICJ, accusing the Israeli government of having an intent to commit genocide against Palestinians.

What is the International Court of Justice (ICJ)?

The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is the principal judicial organ of the United Nations (UN) formed in 1945. This court exists to settle legal disputes between states, promote international cooperation, and contribute to the development of international law.

The ICJ comprises 15 judges elected by the UN General Assembly and Security Council. These judges serve nine-year terms, and no two judges can be nationals of the same country. The court operates year-round, holding regular sessions and emergency sessions when required. Proceedings involve written and oral phases, with parties presenting their arguments, evidence, and witnesses.

The ICJ relies on various sources of international law, including treaties, customary law, general principles of law, and judicial decisions. It applies principles of equity and justice to ensure a fair and impartial resolution of disputes.

The rulings of the court are binding and final but cannot be forced on any country. As such, some countries choose to ignore or not fully comply with ICJ decisions.

Throughout its history, the ICJ has heard numerous landmark cases. Notable examples include The Republic of Nicaragua v. The United States of America, where the court addressed issues of state responsibility and intervention, and the Kosovo Advisory Opinion, which examined the legality of Kosovo's declaration of independence.

Over the years, the ICJ has seen the participation of esteemed judges from diverse legal backgrounds. Notable presidents have included Sir Muhammad Zafrulla Khan, Sir Robert Yewdall Jennings, and current president Joan E. Donoghue.

For many, it is hard to understand the basis of South Africa’s genocide allegation.

Hostage situation: Hamas began this war, not Israel, and to this day, the terror group still holds a number of Israeli hostages, including women and children. Some abductees are under age 3.

Civilian casualties: While it’s unfortunate that civilian deaths have been recorded, all casualties are within combat zones. Israel is extremely careful with civilians and has teams of lawyers that check military decisions in real-time to ensure fewer civilian casualties.

Use of human shields: There is evidence to suggest that Hamas uses civilians in Gaza as human shields. Hamas also operates from schools, hospitals, UN shelters, and places of worship in order to hide behind civilians. Other reports suggest that Hamas terrorists sometimes deploy civilians, including children, to fight tanks and plant explosives.

Israel’s military approach: Israel is a military superpower and could have easily killed more than 1% of Gaza’s population if it truly had a genocidal intent. Instead, The IDF sends ground forces on dangerous missions to Gaza in order to reduce civilian deaths. The easier solution, if Israel had no regard for civilian casualties, would be indiscriminate bombing. If Israel intends genocide, why would they risk their soldiers' lives to reduce civilian casualties?

Gazan population: The Hamas-run Gazan Ministry of Health (MoH), says some 23,210 Palestinians have been killed in Gaza since the Hamas war — a figure equivalent to about 1% of the Gazan population. Although this figure is tragic, it is hard to describe the deaths of 1% of a people as genocide.

Comparisons to death rates in other conflicts: Compared to casualty rates in conflicts like the one in Ukraine (which South Africa has refused to condemn), the killings in Gaza (though unfortunate) are relatively low. 

Hamas's intent: Many argue that if there's any genocidal intent, it should be attributed to Hamas. The terror group has  a call for the genocide of Jews in its charter. “The Day of Judgment will not come about until Muslims fight the Jews (killing the Jews) when the Jew will hide behind stones and trees. The stones and trees will say: O Muslims (…) there is a Jew behind me, come and kill him. “Only the gharkad tree [evidently a certain kind of tree] would not do that because it is one of the trees of the Jews.” - Article 7 of the Charter of Hamas.

Iran's plot: Hamas's ally, Iran also expresses similar sentiments. In 2005, the country said it would wipe Israel off the face of the map. In President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's own words,  “Anybody who recognizes Israel will burn in the fire of the Islamic nation's fury, … any [Islamic leader] who recognizes the Zionist regime means he is acknowledging the surrender and defeat of the Islamic world." “... There is no doubt that the new wave [of attacks] in Palestine will wipe off this stigma [Israel] from the face of the Islamic world." “Israel must be wiped off the map.”

Based on these arguments, it's safe to say South Africa’s genocide claim lacks merit.

What is the History of South Africa’s Relationship With Israel?

South Africa's genocide claim against Israel has undoubtedly further strained the already shaky relationship between the two countries. Here is an overview of key phases in their historical ties:

In the 1940s, South Africa and Israel had a friendly relationship. The African country became one of the first states to give official recognition to Israel.

Israel, in turn, opened a consulate-general in Pretoria.

In the 1950s, the relationship between Israel and South Africa deepened, with increased economic cooperation.

During the 1950s-1960s, apartheid issues, and related UN debates complicated the relationship between Israel and South Africa.

The end of apartheid in the early 1990s marked a turning point in the relationship. South Africa's new government, led by Nelson Mandela, criticized Israel's policies toward the Palestinians. The two countries also adopted different positions on various other international issues.

During parts of the 21st century, Israel and South Africa maintained diplomatic relations, but these are often strained due to differences in their approaches to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. South Africa has been critical of Israel's policies, leading to occasional diplomatic tensions.

As of 2023, South Africa's ruling African National Congress (ANC) maintained a strong pro-Palestinian stance.

The ANC accused Israel of apartheid against Palestinians, a claim strongly resonating with South Africa.

In November 2023, South Africa recalled its ambassador to Israel and closed its embassy in the Middle Eastern country.

South African lawmakers also voted to close down Israel's embassy in Pretoria.

Weeks after the October 7 attacks, a group of Hamas officials visited South Africa. 

More on the South Africa-Israel Genocide Case at the ICJ

South Africa's legal team, led by justice minister Roland Lamola, argues that Israel’s military campaign in Gaza violates the Genocide Convention. “The level of Israel's killing is so extensive that nowhere is safe in Gaza," Adila Hassim, one of South Africa's lawyers, told the court.

"As I stand before you today, 23,210 Palestinians have been killed by Israeli forces during the sustained attacks over the last three months, at least 70% of whom are believed to be women and children," Hassim added.

Meanwhile, Israel has strongly rejected the accusation of genocide, saying that it is only acting in self-defence. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, in a video statement, reacted to South Africa’s opening arguments. 

 "The hypocrisy of South Africa knows no bounds…The state of Israel is accused of genocide at a time when it is fighting genocide.”

"Today, we witnessed one of the greatest shows of hypocrisy in history and a series of baseless and false claims. South Africa is ignoring the fact that Hamas terrorists infiltrated Israel, murdered, executed, massacred, raped, and kidnapped Israeli citizens, just because they were Israelis, in an attempt to carry out genocide.”

Dr. Gilad Noam, one of Israel's lawyers, presented the following closing arguments in his client’s defense:

“Entertaining the applicant’s request would weaken efforts to punish genocide and instead of [the court] being an instrument to prevent terrorist horrors would turn it into a weapon in hands of terrorist groups who have no regard for humanity and rule of law,” said Noam.

South Africa’s stance, if universally accepted, “Would signal to terrorist groups that they can commit war crimes and crimes against humanity and then seek the protection of this court,” he added. .

What Other Countries and Organizations Have Said About the Case

Parts of a Palestinian foreign ministry statement read: “International Court of Justice... is a historic event in the process of the joint Palestinian and South African struggle in the face of the injustice and genocide.”

"Holding Israel, the illegal occupying power, accountable, using all legal tools, and through international justice institutions and international law enforcement, is the main focus of the legal strategy of the State of Palestine, and the core of the diplomatic and international movement.

"...What encouraged Israel and its various tools, including government officials, military personnel, and colonialists, to commit crimes, leading to the commission of, and incitement to commit, the crime of genocide, is due to international failure, the failure to take practical steps to hold it accountable..., and supplying Israel with various types of lethal weapons and political support…”

Meanwhile, Hamas spokesman Sami Abu Zuhr said, "The Palestinian people are following the court session in The Hague with great concern and interest ... We urge the court to reject all pressure and take a decision to criminalize the Israeli occupation and stop the aggression on Gaza.”

German foreign minister Annalena Baerbock:

"It is a fact that genocide preconditions the intention to destroy or partly destroy a group because of their nationality, ethnicity, race or religion. I cannot detect any of this intention by Israel in its self-defence against an armed terror group, Hamas. We will observe the hearing closely."

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